La Liga Regular Season - 8 Full Time

Prediction: Real Madrid vs Villarreal — La Liga

Real Madrid Home

1–0 HT 0–0

Villarreal Away

Kick-off: 10 Oct 2026 · 03:00 MYT
Santiago Bernabéu Stadium, Madrid

The model's 1·X·2 read · pre-match

◆ Real Madrid or draw · Over 1.5 goals Missed

Model estimate Probabilities from our data model — not bookmaker odds.

PICK 1 45% Real Madrid win

PICK X 45% Draw

2 10% Villarreal win

Combo Double chance : Real Madrid or draw and +1.5 goals

Team Comparison

60% Form 40%

57% Attack 43%

57% Defense 43%

80% Poisson 20%

93% H2H 7%

68% Goals 32%

69.2% Overall 30.8%

Season profile

Real Madrid 8-0-2

Form WLWWLWWW

Goal timing

0-15

16-30

31-45

46-60

61-75

76-90

Scored 25 Conceded 10

Villarreal 3-3-4

Form LLLWWLDW

Goal timing

0-15

16-30

31-45

46-60

61-75

76-90

Scored 15 Conceded 14

Team Overview

Real Madrid HOME

71% Win rate LWWL

GF 18 GA 8 CS 1

Villarreal AWAY

29% Win rate LLWW

GF 13 GA 12 CS 0

Top Performers

Y. Diomande

Real Madrid ⚽ 1

8.2

T. Courtois

Real Madrid

7.7

F. Valverde

Real Madrid 🆕 1

7.7

A. Freeman

Villarreal

7.3

Álvaro Fernández

Real Madrid

7.2

N. Saliba

Villarreal

7.0

Odds

Bookmaker	Home	Draw	Away
William Hill	1.36	5.00	6.50
Bet365	1.33	6.00	7.50
Marathonbet	1.39	5.85	7.10
Betfair	1.33	5.50	7.50
BetVictor	1.33	5.75	7.50
Pinnacle	1.37	5.80	7.65
SBO	1.33	5.80	6.86
	1.41	5.94	7.21
Betano	1.38	5.70	8.00
Dafabet	1.37	6.00	7.00
22Bet	1.33	5.75	7.7
Sportaza	1.35	5.66	7.5
Betlabel	1.38	5.45	6.8
bwin	1.28	9.75	4.5
Granawin	1.36	6.2	7.6
	1.36	6.2	7.6
Megapari	1.433	5.69	7.06
Pamestoixima.gr	1.35	5.75	7.35
Spinbetter	1.38	5.45	6.8

Bookmaker	Home/Draw	Home/Away	Draw/Away
William Hill	1.10	1.15	3.10
Bet365	1.10	1.12	3.25
Marathonbet	1.12	1.16	3.16
Betfair	1.07	1.11	3.20
BetVictor	1.10	1.07	3.10
SBO	1.09	1.12	3.26
	1.12	1.17	3.15
Betano	1.11	1.15	3.25
22Bet	1.099	1.164	3.3
Sportaza	1.11	1.13	2.8
Betlabel	1.12	1.176	3.05
bwin	1.1	1.14	3.1
Granawin	1.12	1.15	2.95
	1.12	1.15	2.95
Megapari	1.12	1.176	3.05
Pamestoixima.gr	1.09	1.14	3.25
Spinbetter	1.12	1.176	3.05

Bookmaker	Yes	No
William Hill	1.44	2.62
Bet365	1.44	2.62
Marathonbet	1.47	2.49
Betfair	1.44	2.63
BetVictor	1.40	2.63
	1.47	2.53
Betano	1.45	2.62
22Bet	1.52	2.395
Sportaza	1.52	2.4
Betlabel	1.5	2.446
bwin	1.6	2.3
Granawin	1.54	2.49
	1.54	2.49
Megapari	1.5	2.446
Pamestoixima.gr	1.54	2.37
Spinbetter	1.5	2.446

Bookmaker	Home/Draw	Home/Away	Draw/Away	Draw/Draw	Home/Home	Draw/Home	Away/Home	Away/Draw	Away/Away
Bet365	17.00	41.00	19.00	10.00	1.91	4.50	15.00	19.00	12.00
Marathonbet	20.50	53.00	16.50	9.70	1.78	4.50	19.25	20.00	11.50
Betfair	15.00	46.00	17.00	9.50	1.83	4.50	15.00	18.00	11.00
SBO	16.84	38.44	15.40	10.12	1.80	4.84	15.40	16.36	10.60
	20.00	50.00	16.50	9.70	1.78	4.50	19.00	20.00	11.50
Betano	17.00	50.00	16.00	9.00	1.93	4.35	16.00	17.50	13.00

Bookmaker	Home	Draw	Away
William Hill	1.67	2.90	5.00
Bet365	1.73	3.10	6.00
Marathonbet	1.76	2.88	5.85
Betfair	1.67	2.88	5.50
BetVictor	1.70	2.90	6.00
Pinnacle	1.78	3.20	6.22
SBO	1.73	2.97	5.22
	1.76	2.88	5.85
Betano	1.78	2.82	5.90