La Liga Regular Season - 8 Full Time

Prediction: Alaves vs Atletico Madrid — La Liga

Alaves Home

1–2 HT 1–1

Atletico Madrid Away

Kick-off: 10 Oct 2026 · 22:15 MYT
Estadio de Mendizorroza, Victoria-Gasteiz

The model's 1·X·2 read · pre-match

◆ Draw or Atletico Madrid · 90% Called it

Model estimate Probabilities from our data model — not bookmaker odds.

1 10% Alaves win

PICK X 45% Draw

PICK 2 45% Atletico Madrid win

Double chance : draw or Atletico Madrid

Team Comparison

37% Form 63%

37% Attack 63%

61% Poisson 39%

38% H2H 62%

45.5% Overall 54.5%

Season profile

Alaves 3-3-4

Form WWLLDLLD

Goal timing

0-15

16-30

31-45

46-60

61-75

76-90

Scored 14 Conceded 11

Atletico Madrid 8-1-1

Form WLWWWWWW

Goal timing

0-15

16-30

31-45

46-60

61-75

76-90

Scored 20 Conceded 8

Team Overview

Alaves HOME

43% Win rate WLLD

GF 11 GA 6 CS 3

Atletico Madrid AWAY

71% Win rate LWWW

GF 16 GA 7 CS 3

Top Performers

Álex Grimaldo

Atletico Madrid ⚽ 1

8.4

C. Romero

Atletico Madrid ⚽ 1

7.8

J. David

Atletico Madrid 🆕 1

7.3

Álex Baena

Atletico Madrid 🆕 1

7.3

Koke

Atletico Madrid

7.2

Marcos Llorente

Atletico Madrid

7.2

Odds

Bookmaker	Home	Draw	Away
William Hill	4.20	3.50	1.75
Bet365	4.33	3.70	1.80
Marathonbet	4.50	3.74	1.81
Betfair	4.40	3.50	1.75
BetVictor	4.50	3.60	1.80
Pinnacle	4.64	3.71	1.83
SBO	4.08	3.50	1.84
	4.39	3.75	1.82
Betano	4.55	3.80	1.85
22Bet	4.44	3.7	1.79
Sportaza	4.5	3.66	1.8
Betlabel	4.34	3.7	1.808
bwin	2.25	7.75	1.85
Granawin	4.5	3.75	1.85
	4.5	3.75	1.85
Megapari	4.39	3.75	1.825
Pamestoixima.gr	4.35	3.7	1.8
Spinbetter	4.34	3.7	1.808

Bookmaker	Home/Draw	Home/Away	Draw/Away
William Hill	1.95	1.29	1.22
Bet365	1.95	1.25	1.22
Marathonbet	2.05	1.29	1.22
Betfair	1.91	1.25	1.17
BetVictor	1.95	1.22	1.20
SBO	2.03	1.26	1.19
	1.98	1.27	1.21
Betano	2.02	1.27	1.24
22Bet	2.052	1.307	1.236
Sportaza	1.88	1.26	1.22
Betlabel	1.975	1.27	1.21
bwin	1.93	1.28	1.21
Granawin	1.94	1.29	1.23
	1.94	1.29	1.23
Megapari	1.975	1.27	1.21
Pamestoixima.gr	2.0	1.28	1.21
Spinbetter	1.975	1.27	1.21

Bookmaker	Yes	No
William Hill	1.75	2.00
Bet365	1.80	1.95
Marathonbet	1.79	1.92
Betfair	1.80	1.87
BetVictor	1.80	1.90
	1.82	1.98
Betano	1.78	1.98
22Bet	1.79	1.937
Sportaza	1.8	1.95
Betlabel	1.825	1.98
bwin	1.85	1.9
Granawin	1.9	1.91
	1.9	1.91
Megapari	1.825	1.98
Pamestoixima.gr	1.78	1.97
Spinbetter	1.76	2.06

Bookmaker	Home/Draw	Home/Away	Draw/Away	Draw/Draw	Home/Home	Draw/Home	Away/Home	Away/Draw	Away/Away
Bet365	15.00	21.00	4.75	5.50	7.50	9.50	34.00	13.00	2.75
Marathonbet	16.00	25.00	4.60	5.45	7.50	9.60	41.00	15.50	2.67
Betfair	15.00	23.00	4.50	5.00	7.50	9.50	41.00	14.00	2.75
SBO	14.44	21.16	4.93	5.60	6.47	8.87	38.44	14.44	2.68
	15.00	21.00	4.50	5.50	7.50	9.50	34.00	15.00	2.75
Betano	15.50	25.00	4.55	5.30	7.40	9.00	45.00	15.00	2.85

Bookmaker	Home	Draw	Away
William Hill	4.33	2.25	2.30
Bet365	4.75	2.25	2.38
Marathonbet	4.90	2.19	2.35
Betfair	4.50	2.10	2.30
BetVictor	4.60	2.15	2.40
Pinnacle	4.93	2.30	2.53
SBO	4.11	2.17	2.47
	5.00	2.20	2.38
Betano	4.65	2.15	2.42