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Prediction: HNK Hajduk Split vs Ajax — UEFA Conference League

HNK Hajduk Split Home

2–1 HT 1–0 · +6′

Ajax Away

Kick-off: 15 Oct 2026 · 00:45 MYT
Stadion Poljud, Split

The model's 1·X·2 read · pre-match

◆ HNK Hajduk Split or draw · Over 2.5 goals Called it

Model estimate Probabilities from our data model — not bookmaker odds.

PICK 1 45% HNK Hajduk Split win

PICK X 45% Draw

2 10% Ajax win

Combo Double chance : HNK Hajduk Split or draw and +2.5 goals

Team Comparison

43% Form 57%

44% Attack 56%

60% Defense 40%

53% Poisson 47%

Season profile

HNK Hajduk Split 4-1-0

Form WWDWW

Goal timing

0-15

16-30

31-45

46-60

61-75

76-90

90+

Scored 16 Conceded 7

Ajax 5-1-1

Form WWWDWWL

Goal timing

0-15

16-30

31-45

46-60

61-75

76-90

Scored 23 Conceded 12

Team Overview

HNK Hajduk Split HOME

75% Win rate WWDW

GF 14 GA 6 CS 1

Ajax AWAY

83% Win rate WDWW

GF 22 GA 10 CS 0

Top Performers

Abdoulie Sanyang Bamba

HNK Hajduk Split ⚽ 1

8.5

Marin Šotiček

HNK Hajduk Split ⚽ 1 🆕 1

7.9

Aaron Bouwman

Ajax

7.7

Sofyan Amrabat

Ajax

7.5

Viktor Tsygankov

Ajax

7.5

Toni Silić

HNK Hajduk Split

7.3

Odds

Bookmaker	Home	Draw	Away
William Hill	4.60	4.00	1.62
Bet365	4.50	4.33	1.62
Marathonbet	4.65	4.20	1.61
Betfair	4.60	4.10	1.62
BetVictor	4.75	4.20	1.60
Pinnacle	4.80	4.38	1.65
SBO	4.44	4.02	1.58
	4.82	4.35	1.67
Betano	4.90	4.35	1.70
Dafabet	4.80	4.40	1.66
22Bet	4.1	4.2	1.75
Sportaza	4.0	4.2	1.73
Betlabel	4.42	4.22	1.696
bwin	3.1	7.5	1.49
Hellspin	4.3	4.2	1.71
Interwetten	4.1	3.95	1.8
Megapari	4.46	4.25	1.733
Pamestoixima.gr	4.15	3.95	1.74
Spinbetter	4.18	4.08	1.76

Bookmaker	Home/Draw	Home/Away	Draw/Away
William Hill	2.25	1.22	1.18
Bet365	2.25	1.20	1.18
Marathonbet	2.21	1.20	1.16
Betfair	2.30	1.20	1.17
BetVictor	2.20	1.17	1.18
SBO	2.17	1.17	1.14
	2.26	1.23	1.20
Betano	2.25	1.22	1.21
22Bet	2.06	1.23	1.24
Sportaza	1.88	1.22	1.2
Betlabel	2.171	1.236	1.221
bwin	2.0	1.23	1.22
Hellspin	2.07	1.22	1.22
Interwetten	2.0	1.25	1.25
Megapari	2.152	1.24	1.223
Pamestoixima.gr	2.0	1.22	1.21
Spinbetter	2.077	1.249	1.24

Bookmaker	Yes	No
William Hill	1.57	2.38
Bet365	1.53	2.38
Marathonbet	1.53	2.31
Betfair	1.50	2.55
BetVictor	1.53	2.30
	1.53	2.35
Betano	1.55	2.35
22Bet	1.61	2.31
Sportaza	1.5	2.5
Betlabel	1.49	2.441
bwin	1.55	2.35
Hellspin	1.55	2.35
Interwetten	1.53	2.4
Megapari	1.53	2.347
Pamestoixima.gr	1.52	2.32
Spinbetter	1.52	2.368

Bookmaker	Home/Draw	Home/Away	Draw/Away	Draw/Draw	Home/Home	Draw/Home	Away/Home	Away/Draw	Away/Away
Bet365	15.00	17.00	5.00	7.50	7.50	10.00	29.00	13.00	2.50
Marathonbet	16.00	20.50	4.65	6.85	8.00	11.00	41.00	15.50	2.31
Betfair	13.00	15.00	4.50	7.00	8.00	10.00	26.00	13.00	2.40
SBO	14.44	16.84	4.84	7.14	7.24	9.44	30.76	13.00	2.40
	16.00	20.00	4.65	6.85	8.00	11.00	41.00	15.50	2.31
Betano	15.00	19.50	4.55	6.60	7.90	10.25	40.00	15.00	2.52

Bookmaker	Home	Draw	Away
William Hill	4.40	2.50	2.10
Bet365	4.75	2.60	2.10
Marathonbet	4.65	2.42	2.10
Betfair	4.50	2.50	2.00
BetVictor	4.75	2.45	2.10
Pinnacle	4.86	2.64	2.17
SBO	4.39	2.46	2.03
	4.65	2.42	2.10
Betano	4.65	2.40	2.18