La Liga Regular Season - 5 Full Time

Prediction: Real Madrid vs Rayo Vallecano — La Liga

Real Madrid Home

4–1 HT 3–0

Rayo Vallecano Away

Kick-off: 12 Sep 2026 · 03:00 MYT
Bernabéu, Madrid

The model's 1·X·2 read · pre-match

No clear pick

Model estimate Probabilities from our data model — not bookmaker odds.

1 45% Real Madrid win

X 45% Draw

2 10% Rayo Vallecano win

Team Comparison

90% Form 10%

71% Attack 29%

73% Defense 27%

92% Poisson 8%

75% H2H 25%

57% Goals 43%

76.3% Overall 23.7%

Season profile

Real Madrid 8-0-2

Form WLWWLWWW

Goal timing

0-15

16-30

31-45

46-60

61-75

76-90

Scored 25 Conceded 10

Rayo Vallecano 2-3-4

Form DLWLWDDL

Goal timing

0-15

16-30

31-45

46-60

61-75

76-90

Scored 12 Conceded 20

Team Overview

Real Madrid HOME

75% Win rate WWWL

GF 10 GA 3 CS 1

Rayo Vallecano AWAY

0% Win rate LDL

GF 4 GA 8 CS 0

Top Performers

Kylian Mbappé

Real Madrid ⚽ 2 🆕 1

9.0

T. Courtois

Real Madrid

8.3

Sergio Camello

Rayo Vallecano ⚽ 1

8.2

J. Bellingham

Real Madrid ⚽ 1

8.2

Álvaro Fernández

Real Madrid ⚽ 1

7.9

Vinícius Júnior

Real Madrid 🆕 1

7.7

Odds

Bookmaker	Home	Draw	Away
William Hill	1.15	8.00	17.00
Bet365	1.12	8.50	15.00
Marathonbet	1.15	8.80	21.00
BetVictor	1.10	8.00	17.00
Pinnacle	1.14	8.49	17.07
	1.16	9.10	21.00
22Bet	1.144	8.5	16.0
Sportaza	1.15	8.5	15.0
Betlabel	1.125	8.9	18.0
bwin	1.32	9.0	4.1
Granawin	1.16	9.4	16.0
Hellspin	1.13	9.3	18.0
	1.16	9.4	16.0
Megapari	1.166	9.3	19.5
Pamestoixima.gr	1.13	8.75	15.5
Spinbetter	1.125	8.8	18.0

Bookmaker	Home/Draw	Home/Away	Draw/Away
William Hill	1.02	1.08	5.50
Bet365	1.03	1.08	6.00
Marathonbet	1.01	1.08	6.05
	1.02	1.09	6.00
22Bet	1.025	1.085	5.53
Sportaza	1.03	1.06	4.33
Betlabel	1.025	1.089	5.9
bwin	1.035	1.07	5.25
Granawin	1.04	1.08	4.8
Hellspin	–	1.06	5.5
	1.04	1.08	4.8
Megapari	1.025	1.089	5.9
Pamestoixima.gr	–	1.06	5.5
Spinbetter	1.025	1.09	5.9

Bookmaker	Yes	No
William Hill	1.91	1.83
Bet365	2.00	1.75
Marathonbet	2.02	1.71
BetVictor	2.00	1.73
	2.02	1.72
22Bet	1.76	2.06
Sportaza	1.8	1.95
Betlabel	1.85	1.871
bwin	1.93	1.83
Granawin	1.88	1.93
Hellspin	1.82	1.91
	1.88	1.93
Megapari	1.85	1.871
Pamestoixima.gr	1.78	1.97
Spinbetter	1.84	1.881

Bookmaker	Home/Draw	Home/Away	Draw/Away	Draw/Draw	Home/Home	Draw/Home	Away/Home	Away/Draw	Away/Away
Bet365	23.00	51.00	34.00	13.00	1.44	4.00	17.00	29.00	34.00
Marathonbet	28.00	86.00	32.00	11.75	1.47	4.00	24.00	30.00	31.00
	28.00	85.00	32.00	11.70	1.47	4.00	24.00	30.00	31.00

Bookmaker	Home	Draw	Away
William Hill	1.44	3.10	10.00
Bet365	1.40	3.40	12.00
Marathonbet	1.46	3.14	12.00
BetVictor	1.44	3.20	11.00
Pinnacle	1.46	3.40	10.97
	1.46	3.14	12.00

Bookmaker	Home	Draw	Away
William Hill	1.36	3.75	11.00
Bet365	1.33	3.75	10.00
Marathonbet	1.29	4.33	12.25
	1.29	4.33	12.20

Bookmaker	Home	Draw	Away
Marathonbet	2.84	1.49	15.75

Bookmaker	Home	Draw	Away
Marathonbet	1.82	2.19	12.50

Bookmaker	Home	Draw	Away
Marathonbet	1.30	4.15	13.00

Bookmaker	Home	Draw	Away
Marathonbet	1.19	5.50	15.50

Bookmaker	Over 2.5	Under 2.5
22Bet	1.255	3.92
Sportaza	1.23	4.0
Betlabel	1.25	3.62
bwin	1.29	3.7
Granawin	1.29	3.8
Hellspin	1.23	3.78
	1.29	3.8
Megapari	1.25	3.62
Pamestoixima.gr	1.25	3.9
Spinbetter	1.25	3.62