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Premier League Regular Season - 1 Full Time

Prediction: Newcastle vs Liverpool — Premier League

Newcastle Home

2–2 HT 1–0 · +10′

Liverpool Away

Kick-off: 23 Aug 2026 · 23:30 MYT
St James' Park, Newcastle

The model's 1·X·2 read · pre-match

◆ Draw or Liverpool · 99% Called it

Model estimate Probabilities from our data model — not bookmaker odds.

1 0% Newcastle win

PICK X 50% Draw

PICK 2 50% Liverpool win

Double chance : draw or Liverpool

Team Comparison

29% H2H 71%

38% Goals 62%

33.5% Overall 66.5%

Season profile

Newcastle 3-2-3

Form DWDLWLLW

Goal timing

0-15

16-30

31-45

46-60

61-75

76-90

Scored 12 Conceded 14

Liverpool 4-3-1

Form DDWDWLWW

Goal timing

0-15

16-30

31-45

46-60

61-75

76-90

Scored 11 Conceded 8

Odds

Bookmaker	Home	Draw	Away
10Bet	3.00	3.50	2.20
William Hill	3.90	3.70	1.85
Bet365	4.10	3.75	1.85
Marathonbet	4.10	3.94	1.88
Unibet	3.75	3.80	1.91
Betfair	4.00	3.90	1.87
BetVictor	4.00	3.80	1.85
Pinnacle	4.13	3.95	1.87
SBO	3.52	3.79	1.88
	4.16	4.00	1.91
Betano	4.05	3.85	1.93
Superbet	3.90	3.90	1.90
22Bet	3.9	3.9	1.85
Sportaza	3.8	3.8	1.9
Betlabel	3.96	3.84	1.85
bwin	3.7	3.7	1.85
Granawin	4.0	4.0	1.88
Hellspin	4.0	3.9	1.88
Interwetten	3.85	3.85	1.9
	4.0	4.0	1.88
Megapari	4.06	3.98	1.93
Pamestoixima.gr	4.15	3.8	1.85
Spinbetter	3.9	3.84	1.86

Bookmaker	Home/Draw	Home/Away	Draw/Away
10Bet	1.57	1.22	1.30
William Hill	1.91	1.25	1.25
Bet365	1.80	1.28	1.25
Marathonbet	1.99	1.28	1.27
Unibet	1.87	1.26	1.26
Betfair	1.91	1.22	1.20
BetVictor	1.87	1.22	1.25
SBO	1.98	1.22	1.25
	2.00	1.29	1.27
Betano	1.93	1.27	1.27
Superbet	1.95	1.27	1.28
22Bet	1.952	1.27	1.27
Sportaza	1.81	1.26	1.25
Betlabel	1.981	1.291	1.278
bwin	1.88	1.26	1.26
Granawin	1.92	1.27	1.27
Hellspin	1.96	1.28	1.27
Interwetten	1.9	1.25	1.27
	1.92	1.27	1.27
Megapari	1.97	1.291	1.283
Pamestoixima.gr	1.91	1.25	1.28
Spinbetter	1.97	1.291	1.283

Bookmaker	Yes	No
10Bet	1.83	1.91
William Hill	1.44	2.60
Bet365	1.44	2.62
Marathonbet	1.47	2.49
Unibet	1.44	2.63
Betfair	1.44	2.63
BetVictor	1.44	2.55
	1.47	2.53
Betano	1.47	2.57
Superbet	1.52	2.50
22Bet	1.475	2.675
Sportaza	1.45	2.6
Betlabel	1.47	2.529
bwin	1.51	2.5
Granawin	1.5	2.6
Hellspin	1.44	2.48
Interwetten	1.45	2.55
	1.5	2.6
Megapari	1.46	2.56
Pamestoixima.gr	1.48	2.67
Spinbetter	1.46	2.56

Bookmaker	Home/Draw	Home/Away	Draw/Away	Draw/Draw	Home/Home	Draw/Home	Away/Home	Away/Draw	Away/Away
10Bet	17.00	41.00	6.50	5.00	4.50	8.00	51.00	17.00	3.20
Bet365	13.00	21.00	5.50	7.00	6.00	9.00	29.00	15.00	3.10
Marathonbet	15.25	23.00	4.90	6.05	6.65	9.10	35.00	14.75	2.71
Unibet	10.50	14.00	5.10	6.25	5.80	8.00	19.00	11.00	2.90
Betfair	13.00	19.00	5.50	7.00	6.50	9.50	26.00	13.00	2.88
SBO	14.44	19.24	5.51	7.04	5.60	8.68	27.88	13.96	2.62
	15.00	23.00	4.90	6.05	6.65	9.10	35.00	14.70	2.71
Betano	14.00	21.00	5.00	6.00	6.70	8.75	32.00	13.00	2.95
Superbet	14.00	22.00	5.40	6.70	6.20	9.00	36.00	13.00	2.87

Bookmaker	Home	Draw	Away
10Bet	3.60	2.38	2.80
William Hill	3.60	2.50	2.30
Bet365	3.75	2.50	2.40
Marathonbet	4.30	2.31	2.38
Unibet	3.70	2.48	2.38
Betfair	4.00	2.50	2.30
BetVictor	4.10	2.30	2.40
Pinnacle	4.20	2.61	2.43
SBO	3.55	2.40	2.43
	4.30	2.31	2.38
Betano	4.10	2.32	2.40
Superbet	3.90	2.50	2.35

Bookmaker	Home	Draw	Away
William Hill	3.50	2.70	2.20
Bet365	3.60	2.75	2.10
Marathonbet	3.82	2.86	2.10
Unibet	3.45	2.95	2.14
	3.82	2.86	2.10
Betano	3.65	2.77	2.15
Superbet	3.70	2.85	2.17

Bookmaker	Home	Draw	Away
Marathonbet	7.50	1.36	4.60

Bookmaker	Home	Draw	Away
Marathonbet	5.10	1.80	2.98
Betano	5.00	1.85	3.05

Bookmaker	Home	Draw	Away
Marathonbet	4.00	2.70	2.14
Betano	3.95	2.77	2.18

Bookmaker	Home	Draw	Away
Marathonbet	3.88	3.10	1.97

Bookmaker	Over 2.5	Under 2.5
22Bet	1.495	2.61
Sportaza	1.48	2.6
Betlabel	1.48	2.44
bwin	1.78	6.75
Granawin	1.51	2.65
Hellspin	1.45	2.4
Interwetten	1.5	2.55
	1.51	2.65
Megapari	1.47	2.47
Pamestoixima.gr	1.5	2.67
Spinbetter	1.47	2.47

Pre-match prices collected from public bookmaker feeds — shown for comparison, not an offer to bet.

Match Events

5' ⚽
A. Elanga (Normal Goal — W. Osula)
25' 🟥
Y. Wissa Yellow Card
30' 🟥
M. Kerkez Yellow Card
30' 🟥
J. Frimpong Yellow Card
34' 🟥
L. Miley Yellow Card
55' ⚽
C. Gakpo (Normal Goal — R. Gravenberch)
56' 🔄
S. Steur → J. Ramsey
56' 🔄
W. Osula → J. Willock
57' ⚽
J. Willock (Normal Goal — Y. Wissa)
63' 🔄
R. Ngumoha → V. Munoz
63' 🔄
F. Wirtz → A. Mac Allister
65' 🟥
J. Ramsey Yellow Card
70' 🔄
J. Jacquet → R. Araujo
76' 🔄
A. Elanga → J. Murphy
76' 🔄
L. Miley → A. Bamba
78' 🔄
R. Gravenberch → L. Koumas
79' 🟥
J. Murphy Yellow Card
90' 🟥
V. van Dijk Yellow Card
90'+3 🟥
L. Hornicek Yellow Card
90'+5 🔄
Y. Wissa → F. Schar
90'+9 ⚽
D. Szoboszlai (Penalty)

Match Statistics

St. James' Park

Match facts

Competition: Premier League
Round: Regular Season - 1
Kick-off: 23 Aug 2026 · 23:30 MYT
Venue: St James' Park, Newcastle
Capacity: 52758
Surface: grass
Head coaches: E. Howe J. Klopp
Referee: Stuart Attwell, England
Odds 1·X·2: 4.164.001.91

Standings

#	Team	P	GD	Pts
8	Leeds	1	1	3
9	Liverpool	1	0	1
10	Newcastle	1	0	1
11	Chelsea	0	0	0

Unavailable Players