Premier LeaguePrediction: Newcastle vs Aston Villa — Premier League
Newcastle
Home
0–1
HT 0–1
Aston Villa
Away
- Kick-off: MYT
- St James' Park, Newcastle upon Tyne
The model's 1·X·2 read · pre-match
◆ Newcastle or draw · 70% MissedModel estimate Probabilities from our data model — not bookmaker odds.
PICK
1
35%
Newcastle win
PICK
X
35%
Draw
2
30%
Aston Villa win
Double chance : Newcastle or draw
Team Comparison
58%
Form
42%
57%
Attack
43%
39%
Defense
61%
66%
Poisson
34%
53.3%
Overall
46.7%
Season profile
Newcastle
3-2-3
Form
DWDLWLLW
Goal timing
0-15
16-30
31-45
46-60
61-75
76-90
Scored 12
Conceded 14
Aston Villa
3-2-3
Form
LLDLWDWW
Goal timing
0-15
16-30
31-45
46-60
61-75
76-90
Scored 9
Conceded 12
Team Overview
Newcastle
HOME
33%
Win rate
DLWL
GF 10
GA 13
CS 1
Aston Villa
AWAY
17%
Win rate
DLWD
GF 6
GA 11
CS 1
Top Performers
J. Manzambi
João Gomes
Alysson Edward
M. Cash
R. Barkley
A. Wan-Bissaka
Recent form
Last five finished matches before this kick-off.
Newcastle
LWLDW
- L1–4@ Coventry
- W2–1vs Hull City
- L1–4@ Leeds
- D2–2vs Bournemouth
- W2–0@ Tottenham
Aston Villa
WDWLW
- W6–0vs Fenerbahçe
- D2–2vs Brentford
- W3–2@ Tottenham
- L1–2vs Nottingham Forest
- W3–2@ Club Brugge KV
Head to Head
Odds
| Bookmaker | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| William Hill | 2.30 | 3.50 | 2.80 |
| Bet365 | 2.40 | 3.60 | 2.75 |
| Marathonbet | 2.38 | 3.68 | 2.86 |
| BetVictor | 2.30 | 3.70 | 2.70 |
| Pinnacle | 2.42 | 3.70 | 2.90 |
 |
2.44 | 3.78 | 2.94 |
| 22Bet | 2.256 | 3.7 | 2.936 |
| Sportaza | 2.2 | 3.66 | 3.1 |
| Betlabel | 2.17 | 3.68 | 3.12 |
| bwin | 1.65 | 7.75 | 2.6 |
| Hellspin | 2.13 | 3.71 | 3.12 |
| Interwetten | 2.1 | 3.7 | 3.3 |
| Megapari | 2.184 | 3.76 | 3.15 |
| Pamestoixima.gr | 2.17 | 3.8 | 3.1 |
| Spinbetter | 2.17 | 3.68 | 3.12 |
| Bookmaker | Home/Draw | Home/Away | Draw/Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| William Hill | 1.40 | 1.29 | 1.62 |
| Bet365 | 1.36 | 1.28 | 1.62 |
| Marathonbet | 1.44 | 1.30 | 1.61 |
| BetVictor | 1.40 | 1.25 | 1.55 |
|
1.46 | 1.31 | 1.62 |
| 22Bet | 1.392 | 1.27 | 1.625 |
| Sportaza | 1.36 | 1.27 | 1.61 |
| Betlabel | 1.395 | 1.309 | 1.721 |
| bwin | 1.36 | 1.26 | 1.68 |
| Hellspin | 1.35 | 1.27 | 1.7 |
| Interwetten | 1.33 | 1.27 | 1.73 |
| Megapari | 1.355 | 1.27 | 1.675 |
| Pamestoixima.gr | 1.37 | 1.27 | 1.7 |
| Spinbetter | 1.395 | 1.309 | 1.721 |
| Bookmaker | Yes | No |
|---|---|---|
| William Hill | 1.50 | 2.50 |
| Bet365 | 1.50 | 2.50 |
| Marathonbet | 1.46 | 2.52 |
| BetVictor | 1.44 | 2.55 |
|
1.46 | 2.56 |
| 22Bet | 1.504 | 2.575 |
| Sportaza | 1.45 | 2.6 |
| Betlabel | 1.444 | 2.611 |
| bwin | 1.47 | 2.6 |
| Hellspin | 1.48 | 2.54 |
| Interwetten | 1.5 | 2.45 |
| Megapari | 1.475 | 2.675 |
| Pamestoixima.gr | 1.45 | 2.72 |
| Spinbetter | 1.444 | 2.611 |
| Bookmaker | Home/Draw | Home/Away | Draw/Away | Draw/Draw | Home/Home | Draw/Home | Away/Home | Away/Draw | Away/Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 13.00 | 26.00 | 7.50 | 6.50 | 3.75 | 6.50 | 23.00 | 15.00 | 4.75 |
| Marathonbet | 13.75 | 27.00 | 6.90 | 5.90 | 3.62 | 5.95 | 24.00 | 13.75 | 4.55 |
|
13.70 | 27.00 | 6.90 | 5.90 | 3.62 | 5.95 | 24.00 | 13.70 | 4.55 |
| Bookmaker | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| William Hill | 2.62 | 2.45 | 3.10 |
| Bet365 | 2.75 | 2.40 | 3.25 |
| Marathonbet | 2.84 | 2.30 | 3.34 |
| BetVictor | 2.88 | 2.30 | 3.30 |
| Pinnacle | 2.92 | 2.55 | 3.36 |
|
2.84 | 2.30 | 3.34 |
| Bookmaker | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| William Hill | 2.50 | 2.60 | 3.10 |
| Bet365 | 2.50 | 2.62 | 2.88 |
| Marathonbet | 2.57 | 2.76 | 2.97 |
|
2.57 | 2.76 | 2.97 |
| Bookmaker | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Marathonbet | 5.20 | 1.37 | 6.10 |
| Bookmaker | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Marathonbet | 3.45 | 1.81 | 4.10 |
| Bookmaker | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Marathonbet | 2.61 | 2.66 | 3.04 |
| Bookmaker | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Marathonbet | 2.45 | 3.00 | 2.89 |
| Bookmaker | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
|---|---|---|
| 22Bet | 1.488 | 2.63 |
| Sportaza | 1.52 | 2.45 |
| Betlabel | 1.5 | 2.375 |
| bwin | 1.53 | 2.5 |
| Hellspin | 1.57 | 2.37 |
| Interwetten | 1.57 | 2.35 |
| Megapari | 1.53 | 2.5 |
| Pamestoixima.gr | 1.51 | 2.62 |
| Spinbetter | 1.5 | 2.375 |
Pre-match prices collected from public bookmaker feeds — shown for comparison, not an offer to bet.
Lineup
Match Events
-
18'
Joelinton Yellow Card
-
18'
Sven Botman Yellow Card
-
25'
João Gomes Yellow Card
-
28'
Alysson Edward Franco da Rocha Yellow Card
-
36'
Johan Manzambi (Normal Goal — João Gomes)
-
45'
Alysson Edward Franco da Rocha → John McGinn
-
53'
Nico González Yellow Card
-
55'
Yoane Wissa Yellow Card
-
56'
Matias Fernandez-Pardo → Bazoumana Touré
-
56'
Joe Willock → William Osula
-
72'
Emiliano Buendía → Leon Goretzka
-
72'
João Gomes → Ross Barkley
-
72'
Johan Manzambi → Ibrahim Mbaye
-
77'
Aaron Wan-Bissaka → Pau Torres
-
78'
William Osula Yellow Card
-
86'
Malick Thiaw Yellow Card
-
90'
Joelinton → Dan Burn
Match Statistics
League Table