UEFA Nations League League D - 2 Full Time

Prediction: Lithuania vs Azerbaijan — UEFA Nations League

Lithuania Home

1–1 HT 1–1

Azerbaijan Away

Kick-off: 27 Sep 2026 · 21:00 MYT

The model's 1·X·2 read · pre-match

◆ Lithuania · 40% Missed

Model estimate Probabilities from our data model — not bookmaker odds.

PICK 1 40% Lithuania win

X 32% Draw

2 28% Azerbaijan win

Season profile

Lithuania 1-1-0

Form WD

Goal timing

0-15

16-30

31-45

46-60

61-75

76-90

Scored 3 Conceded 1

Azerbaijan 0-2-0

Form DD

Goal timing

0-15

16-30

31-45

46-60

61-75

76-90

Scored 1 Conceded 1

Top Performers

M. Emreli

Azerbaijan ⚽ 1

7.9

E. Utkus

Lithuania

7.0

M. Burba

Lithuania

7.0

M. Qurbanlı

Azerbaijan

6.9

D. Bartkus

Lithuania

6.9

R. Dadashov

Azerbaijan

6.8

Odds

Bookmaker	Home	Draw	Away
William Hill	2.25	2.80	3.25
Bet365	2.20	3.00	3.50
Marathonbet	2.32	3.04	3.54
Betfair	2.20	2.80	3.40
BetVictor	2.25	3.10	3.40
Pinnacle	2.28	3.04	3.55
SBO	2.30	2.84	3.11
	2.35	3.07	3.58
Betano	2.35	2.95	3.25
22Bet	2.21	2.992	3.76
Sportaza	2.22	2.9	3.75
Betlabel	2.21	2.992	3.76
bwin	2.25	2.95	3.6
Granawin	2.22	2.95	3.6
Hellspin	2.21	2.94	3.73
Interwetten	2.3	2.95	3.6
	2.22	2.95	3.6
Megapari	2.22	2.975	3.76
Pamestoixima.gr	2.17	2.95	3.65
Spinbetter	2.22	2.992	3.72

Bookmaker	Home/Draw	Home/Away	Draw/Away
William Hill	1.33	1.40	1.57
Bet365	1.30	1.36	1.57
Marathonbet	1.32	1.41	1.64
Betfair	1.25	1.36	1.53
BetVictor	1.29	1.33	1.57
SBO	1.22	1.27	1.59
	1.32	1.41	1.64
Betano	1.35	1.36	1.60
22Bet	1.288	1.411	1.686
Sportaza	1.26	1.36	1.57
Betlabel	1.288	1.411	1.686
bwin	1.28	1.38	1.61
Granawin	1.27	1.37	1.56
Hellspin	1.26	1.39	1.63
Interwetten	1.3	1.37	1.63
	1.27	1.37	1.56
Megapari	1.288	1.415	1.681
Pamestoixima.gr	1.25	1.37	1.64
Spinbetter	1.293	1.41	1.68

Bookmaker	Yes	No
William Hill	2.00	1.75
Bet365	2.20	1.62
Marathonbet	2.09	1.66
Betfair	1.95	1.80
BetVictor	2.10	1.65
	2.09	1.68
Betano	2.07	1.67
22Bet	2.21	1.606
Sportaza	2.4	1.52
Betlabel	2.23	1.595
bwin	2.25	1.6
Granawin	2.21	1.62
Hellspin	2.31	1.52
Interwetten	2.2	1.6
	2.21	1.62
Megapari	2.23	1.595
Pamestoixima.gr	2.2	1.58
Spinbetter	2.23	1.595

Bookmaker	Home/Draw	Home/Away	Draw/Away	Draw/Draw	Home/Home	Draw/Home	Away/Home	Away/Draw	Away/Away
Bet365	17.00	41.00	7.00	4.33	3.75	5.50	34.00	17.00	5.50
Marathonbet	16.25	51.00	7.30	3.85	3.62	5.15	41.00	16.50	5.90
Betfair	12.00	34.00	7.00	4.20	3.75	5.00	23.00	12.00	5.50
SBO	13.48	38.44	6.66	4.26	3.64	5.03	30.76	13.48	5.32
	16.00	50.00	7.30	3.85	3.62	5.15	41.00	16.50	5.90
Betano	14.50	45.00	6.50	3.90	3.85	5.00	35.00	15.00	5.50

Bookmaker	Home	Draw	Away
William Hill	3.00	1.95	3.90
Bet365	3.00	1.91	4.00
Marathonbet	3.08	1.87	4.40
Betfair	3.00	1.91	3.75
BetVictor	3.10	1.90	4.10
Pinnacle	3.06	2.00	4.36
SBO	2.92	1.89	3.85
	3.08	1.87	4.40
Betano	3.10	1.87	4.00

Bookmaker	Home	Draw	Away
William Hill	2.80	2.10	3.60
Bet365	2.88	2.20	3.20
Marathonbet	2.69	2.19	3.88
	2.69	2.19	3.88
Betano	2.72	2.22	3.55

Bookmaker	Home	Draw	Away
Marathonbet	6.45	1.22	8.80

Bookmaker	Home	Draw	Away
Marathonbet	3.98	1.53	5.50

Bookmaker	Home	Draw	Away
Marathonbet	2.69	2.17	3.92

Bookmaker	Home	Draw	Away
Marathonbet	2.46	2.48	3.60

Bookmaker	Over 2.5	Under 2.5
22Bet	2.744	1.45
Sportaza	2.9	1.37
Betlabel	2.78	1.445
bwin	2.85	1.41
Granawin	2.7	1.43
Hellspin	2.6	1.42
Interwetten	2.75	1.43
	2.7	1.43
Megapari	2.78	1.445
Pamestoixima.gr	2.65	1.44
Spinbetter	2.78	1.445