UEFA Nations League League A - 4 Full Time

Prediction: Italy vs Türkiye — UEFA Nations League

Italy Home

3–1 HT 1–0

Türkiye Away

Kick-off: 05 Oct 2026 · 02:45 MYT
Stadio Renato Dall'Ara, Bologna

The model's 1·X·2 read · pre-match

◆ Italy or draw · 99% Called it

Model estimate Probabilities from our data model — not bookmaker odds.

PICK 1 50% Italy win

PICK X 50% Draw

2 0% Türkiye win

Double chance : Italy or draw

Team Comparison

83% Attack 17%

67% Defense 33%

91% H2H 9%

77% Goals 23%

79.5% Overall 20.5%

Season profile

Italy 1-1-1

Form LWD

Goal timing

0-15

16-30

31-45

46-60

61-75

76-90

Scored 5 Conceded 4

Türkiye 0-0-3

Form LLL

Goal timing

0-15

16-30

31-45

46-60

61-75

76-90

Scored 1 Conceded 8

Team Overview

Italy HOME

33% Win rate LWD

GF 5 GA 4 CS 0

Türkiye AWAY

0% Win rate LLL

GF 1 GA 8 CS 0

Top Performers

R. Calafiori

Italy ⚽ 1

8.0

G. Scamacca

Italy ⚽ 1

7.9

G. Donnarumma

Italy

7.7

F. Esposito

Italy ⚽ 1

7.7

N. Barella

Italy 🆕 1

7.6

A. Romano

Italy 🆕 1

7.6

Odds

Bookmaker	Home	Draw	Away
William Hill	1.36	4.60	7.00
Bet365	1.38	5.25	7.00
Marathonbet	1.40	5.25	7.90
Betfair	1.33	5.00	8.00
BetVictor	1.36	5.00	7.50
Pinnacle	1.38	5.20	7.89
SBO	1.36	4.84	7.24
	1.40	5.25	7.90
Betano	1.44	5.20	7.30
22Bet	1.44	4.64	6.95
Sportaza	1.5	4.25	6.33
Betlabel	1.555	4.52	5.25
bwin	1.47	8.0	3.25
Granawin	1.56	4.6	5.8
Interwetten	1.57	4.3	5.5
	1.56	4.6	5.8
Megapari	1.58	4.34	5.25
Pamestoixima.gr	1.51	4.5	6.0
Spinbetter	1.5	4.46	6.15

Bookmaker	Home/Draw	Home/Away	Draw/Away
William Hill	1.08	1.18	3.00
Bet365	1.10	1.17	3.00
Marathonbet	1.10	1.18	3.12
Betfair	1.06	1.13	3.00
BetVictor	1.10	1.09	3.00
SBO	1.06	1.14	2.99
	1.10	1.18	3.10
Betano	1.12	1.17	2.95
22Bet	1.117	1.211	2.805
Sportaza	1.11	1.2	2.33
Betlabel	1.155	1.2	2.395
bwin	1.14	1.2	2.45
Granawin	1.17	1.23	2.32
Interwetten	1.15	1.22	2.4
	1.17	1.23	2.32
Megapari	1.155	1.21	2.35
Pamestoixima.gr	1.13	1.2	2.47
Spinbetter	1.139	1.224	2.608

Bookmaker	Yes	No
William Hill	1.73	2.05
Bet365	1.83	1.83
Marathonbet	1.78	1.93
Betfair	1.73	2.05
BetVictor	1.70	2.00
	1.78	1.95
Betano	1.75	2.02
22Bet	1.71	2.04
Sportaza	1.74	1.95
Betlabel	1.77	2.05
bwin	1.75	1.98
Granawin	1.69	2.18
Interwetten	1.67	2.1
	1.69	2.18
Megapari	1.71	2.136
Pamestoixima.gr	1.65	2.15
Spinbetter	1.69	2.066

Bookmaker	Home/Draw	Home/Away	Draw/Away	Draw/Draw	Home/Home	Draw/Home	Away/Home	Away/Draw	Away/Away
Bet365	17.00	41.00	17.00	8.00	1.95	4.00	19.00	19.00	13.00
Marathonbet	19.00	51.00	16.75	7.90	1.85	4.25	22.00	20.00	13.50
Betfair	15.00	61.00	17.00	8.50	1.91	4.50	19.00	19.00	14.00
SBO	15.88	38.44	13.48	7.91	1.85	4.56	18.76	17.32	11.08
	19.00	50.00	16.50	7.90	1.85	4.25	22.00	20.00	13.50
Betano	18.00	60.00	14.00	7.50	2.05	4.15	19.50	18.00	11.25

Bookmaker	Home	Draw	Away
William Hill	1.75	2.60	7.00
Bet365	1.80	2.62	7.00
Marathonbet	1.81	2.62	6.50
Betfair	1.73	2.70	6.50
BetVictor	1.75	2.63	7.00
Pinnacle	1.81	2.85	7.25
SBO	1.78	2.61	6.09
	1.81	2.62	6.50
Betano	1.88	2.55	6.00

Bookmaker	Home	Draw	Away
William Hill	1.73	2.90	5.80
Bet365	1.62	3.00	6.00
Marathonbet	1.65	3.10	6.30
	1.65	3.10	6.30
Betano	1.67	3.10	5.70

Bookmaker	Home	Draw	Away
Marathonbet	3.44	1.43	10.25

Bookmaker	Home	Draw	Away
Marathonbet	2.24	1.97	7.60
Betano	2.45	1.93	7.00

Bookmaker	Home	Draw	Away
Marathonbet	1.60	3.22	6.60
Betano	1.67	3.25	6.10

Bookmaker	Home	Draw	Away
Marathonbet	1.47	3.88	6.70

Bookmaker	Over 2.5	Under 2.5
22Bet	1.592	2.35
Sportaza	1.62	2.22
Betlabel	1.67	2.2
bwin	1.63	2.2
Granawin	1.62	2.37
Interwetten	1.6	2.25
	1.62	2.37
Megapari	1.67	2.2
Pamestoixima.gr	1.57	2.45
Spinbetter	1.615	2.31