Prediction: Italy vs Belgium — UEFA Nations League
- Kick-off: MYT
- Stadio Olimpico, Rome
The model's 1·X·2 read · pre-match
◆ Italy or draw · 99% MissedModel estimate Probabilities from our data model — not bookmaker odds.
PICK
1
50%
Italy win
PICK
X
50%
Draw
2
0%
Belgium win
Double chance : Italy or draw
Season profile
Form
LWD
Goal timing
0-15
16-30
31-45
46-60
61-75
76-90
Scored 5
Conceded 4
Form
WLW
Goal timing
0-15
16-30
31-45
46-60
61-75
76-90
Scored 5
Conceded 1
Top Performers
M. Godts
G. Donnarumma
S. Lammens
C. De Ketelaere
K. De Bruyne
D. Lukebakio
Recent form
Last five finished matches before this kick-off.
Italy
—
Belgium
LWWW
- L1–2@ Spain
- W4–1@ USA
- W3–2vs Senegal
- W5–1@ New Zealand
Head to Head
Odds
| Bookmaker | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Marathonbet | 5.20 | 1.33 | 7.00 |
| Bookmaker | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Marathonbet | 3.36 | 1.75 | 4.60 |
| Betano | 3.50 | 1.72 | 4.85 |
| Bookmaker | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Marathonbet | 2.44 | 2.59 | 3.44 |
| Betano | 2.42 | 2.62 | 3.60 |
| Bookmaker | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Marathonbet | 2.25 | 2.97 | 3.26 |
Pre-match prices collected from public bookmaker feeds — shown for comparison, not an offer to bet.
Lineup
Match Events
-
20'
Mika Godts (Normal Goal — Kevin De Bruyne) -
25'
Nicolas Raskin Yellow Card -
29'
Diego Moreira Yellow Card -
58'
Kevin De Bruyne → Hans Vanaken -
58'
Diego Moreira → Dodi Lukebakio -
63'
Gianluca Mancini Yellow Card -
65'
Diego Coppola → Giorgio Scalvini -
65'
Pio Esposito → Daniel Maldini -
65'
Alessandro Romano → Davide Frattesi -
69'
Dodi Lukebakio (Normal Goal — Charles De Ketelaere) -
74'
Nicolas Raskin → Romeo Lavia -
80'
Romeo Lavia Yellow Card -
80'
Nicolò Barella → Issa Doumbia -
80'
Nicolo Cambiaghi → Mohamed Alì Zoma -
83'
Mika Godts → Matias Fernandez-Pardo -
84'
Charles De Ketelaere → Romelu Lukaku -
89'
Matias Fernandez-Pardo Yellow Card -
90'+1
Daniel Maldini Yellow Card -
90'+4
Gianluigi Donnarumma Yellow Card -
90'+4
Romelu Lukaku Yellow Card
Match Statistics
League Table

