UEFA Nations League League A - 3 Full Time

Prediction: France vs Italy — UEFA Nations League

France Home

1–1 HT 0–0

Italy Away

Kick-off: 02 Oct 2026 · 02:45 MYT
Stade de France, Paris

The model's 1·X·2 read · pre-match

◆ France or draw · 90% Called it

Model estimate Probabilities from our data model — not bookmaker odds.

PICK 1 45% France win

PICK X 45% Draw

2 10% Italy win

Double chance : France or draw

Team Comparison

67% Form 33%

33% Attack 67%

Season profile

France 2-1-0

Form WWD

Goal timing

0-15

16-30

31-45

46-60

61-75

76-90

Scored 3 Conceded 1

Italy 1-1-1

Form LWD

Goal timing

0-15

16-30

31-45

46-60

61-75

76-90

Scored 5 Conceded 4

Team Overview

France HOME

100% Win rate WW

GF 2 GA 0 CS 2

Italy AWAY

50% Win rate LW

GF 4 GA 3 CS 0

Top Performers

M. Olise

France ⚽ 1

8.1

R. Cherki

France 🆕 1

7.7

A. Bastoni

Italy ⚽ 1

7.7

M. Kayode

Italy

7.4

L. da Cunha

France

7.2

A. Truffert

France

7.1

Odds

Bookmaker	Home	Draw	Away
William Hill	1.40	4.40	6.00
Bet365	1.42	4.75	7.00
Marathonbet	1.47	5.00	6.60
Betfair	1.40	4.75	7.00
BetVictor	1.44	4.60	6.50
Pinnacle	1.45	4.86	6.90
SBO	1.40	4.70	6.38
	1.49	5.05	6.67
Betano	1.50	4.75	7.00
22Bet	1.425	5.0	6.5
Sportaza	1.14	6.33	31.0
Betlabel	1.425	5.0	6.5
bwin	1.33	8.5	4.2
Granawin	1.43	5.0	6.8
Interwetten	1.5	4.6	6.25
	1.43	5.0	6.8
Megapari	1.44	4.88	6.45
Pamestoixima.gr	2.95	1.6	9.25
Spinbetter	1.46	4.74	6.35

Bookmaker	Home/Draw	Home/Away	Draw/Away
William Hill	1.12	1.18	2.70
Bet365	1.10	1.18	2.75
Marathonbet	1.13	1.20	2.82
Betfair	1.07	1.14	2.80
BetVictor	1.13	1.13	2.63
SBO	1.08	1.15	2.79
	1.14	1.21	2.83
Betano	1.13	1.19	2.77
22Bet	1.11	1.17	2.79
Sportaza	–	1.11	5.33
Betlabel	1.11	1.17	2.79
bwin	1.13	1.18	2.55
Granawin	1.13	1.19	2.7
Interwetten	1.15	1.2	2.6
	1.13	1.19	2.7
Megapari	1.142	1.208	2.834
Pamestoixima.gr	1.04	2.25	1.37
Spinbetter	1.145	1.217	2.766

Bookmaker	Yes	No
William Hill	1.62	2.15
Bet365	1.62	2.20
Marathonbet	1.63	2.14
Betfair	1.62	2.20
BetVictor	1.60	2.15
	1.63	2.17
Betano	1.65	2.15
22Bet	1.65	2.235
Sportaza	3.0	1.32
Betlabel	1.65	2.235
bwin	1.71	2.05
Granawin	1.65	2.25
Interwetten	1.7	2.1
	1.65	2.25
Megapari	1.63	2.167
Spinbetter	1.67	2.097

Bookmaker	Home/Draw	Home/Away	Draw/Away	Draw/Draw	Home/Home	Draw/Home	Away/Home	Away/Draw	Away/Away
Bet365	15.00	41.00	15.00	7.50	2.10	4.33	17.00	17.00	11.00
Marathonbet	17.75	48.00	14.50	7.80	1.96	4.40	21.00	18.50	11.00
Betfair	15.00	51.00	15.00	8.00	2.00	4.50	18.00	17.00	12.00
SBO	15.88	38.44	13.00	7.91	1.95	4.56	17.32	15.88	10.12
	17.50	48.00	14.50	7.80	1.96	4.40	21.00	18.50	11.00
Betano	16.50	55.00	13.50	7.10	2.10	4.35	20.00	17.00	11.00

Bookmaker	Home	Draw	Away
William Hill	1.91	2.50	5.50
Bet365	1.91	2.62	6.00
Marathonbet	1.89	2.60	5.75
Betfair	1.80	2.63	5.50
BetVictor	1.87	2.55	6.00
Pinnacle	1.92	2.79	6.23
SBO	1.87	2.60	5.22
	1.89	2.60	5.75
Betano	1.91	2.55	5.70

Bookmaker	Home	Draw	Away
William Hill	1.80	2.80	5.00
Bet365	1.73	2.88	5.00
Marathonbet	1.72	3.08	5.50
	1.72	3.08	5.50
Betano	1.75	2.95	5.30

Bookmaker	Home	Draw	Away
Marathonbet	3.58	1.43	9.20

Bookmaker	Home	Draw	Away
Marathonbet	2.32	1.98	6.65
Betano	2.47	1.95	6.60

Bookmaker	Home	Draw	Away
Marathonbet	1.68	3.18	5.65
Betano	1.72	3.15	5.90

Bookmaker	Home	Draw	Away
Marathonbet	1.54	3.78	5.75

Bookmaker	Over 2.5	Under 2.5
22Bet	1.52	2.525
Sportaza	3.2	1.36
Betlabel	1.52	2.525
bwin	1.55	2.4
Granawin	1.47	2.75
Interwetten	1.55	2.4
	1.47	2.75
Megapari	1.47	2.47
Pamestoixima.gr	2.12	1.7
Spinbetter	1.51	2.375