UEFA Champions League 3rd Qualifying Round Full Time

Prediction: Fenerbahçe vs Sturm Graz — UEFA Champions League

Fenerbahçe Home

2–0 HT 2–0 · +4′

Sturm Graz Away

Kick-off: 05 Aug 2026 · 02:00 MYT
Chobani Stadium, Istanbul

The model's 1·X·2 read · pre-match

No clear pick

Model estimate Probabilities from our data model — not bookmaker odds.

1 10% Fenerbahçe win

X 45% Draw

2 45% Sturm Graz win

Team Comparison

40% Form 60%

25% Attack 75%

80% H2H 20%

60% Goals 40%

51.3% Overall 48.8%

Season profile

Fenerbahçe 4-3-1

Form WDWWDWDL

Goal timing

0-15

16-30

31-45

46-60

61-75

76-90

Scored 9 Conceded 10

Sturm Graz 2-0-1

Form WWL

Goal timing

0-15

16-30

31-45

46-60

61-75

76-90

Scored 6 Conceded 2

Team Overview

Fenerbahçe HOME

50% Win rate WD

GF 2 GA 1 CS 1

Sturm Graz AWAY

100% Win rate WW

GF 6 GA 0 CS 2

Top Performers

Milan Škriniar

Fenerbahçe

8.9

Daniil Khudyakov

Sturm Graz

7.9

Marco Asensio

Fenerbahçe 🆕 1

7.7

Nathan Aké

Fenerbahçe

7.3

Mattéo Guendouzi

Fenerbahçe

7.3

N'Golo Kanté

Fenerbahçe

7.3

Odds

Bookmaker	Home	Draw	Away
10Bet	1.33	5.00	8.70
William Hill	1.35	4.80	6.50
Bet365	1.33	5.00	7.00
Marathonbet	1.38	5.50	8.00
Unibet	1.33	5.10	8.50
Betfair	1.29	5.00	7.50
BetVictor	1.33	5.25	9.00
Pinnacle	1.33	5.65	7.46
SBO	1.32	4.59	6.76
	1.39	5.53	8.00
Betano	1.39	5.50	8.25
Superbet	1.36	5.35	7.50
22Bet	1.34	5.6	7.7
Sportaza	1.32	5.33	8.0
Betlabel	1.325	5.75	8.0
bwin	1.18	10.5	6.25
Interwetten	1.37	5.25	7.5
Megapari	1.348	6.08	8.35
Pamestoixima.gr	1.28	5.5	8.75
Spinbetter	1.312	5.9	8.1

Bookmaker	Home/Draw	Home/Away	Draw/Away
10Bet	1.06	1.12	3.20
William Hill	1.10	1.17	2.88
Bet365	1.08	1.17	3.00
Marathonbet	1.10	1.17	3.22
Unibet	1.06	1.13	2.95
Betfair	1.06	1.13	3.20
BetVictor	1.09	1.07	3.20
SBO	1.02	1.10	2.81
	1.10	1.18	3.22
Betano	1.11	1.16	3.20
Superbet	1.09	1.16	3.10
22Bet	1.09	1.145	3.225
Sportaza	1.08	1.12	2.71
Betlabel	1.094	1.159	3.38
bwin	1.07	1.14	3.3
Interwetten	1.09	1.15	3.05
Megapari	1.092	1.154	3.44
Pamestoixima.gr	1.04	1.12	3.4
Spinbetter	1.092	1.154	3.44

Bookmaker	Yes	No
10Bet	1.77	1.91
William Hill	1.73	2.00
Bet365	1.83	1.83
Marathonbet	1.86	1.84
Unibet	1.86	1.81
Betfair	1.87	1.87
BetVictor	1.78	1.91
	1.86	1.86
Betano	1.85	1.88
Superbet	1.83	1.90
22Bet	1.76	2.06
Sportaza	1.75	1.95
Betlabel	1.82	1.902
bwin	1.8	1.95
Interwetten	1.67	2.1
Megapari	1.8	1.923
Pamestoixima.gr	1.71	2.02
Spinbetter	1.81	1.912

Bookmaker	Home/Draw	Home/Away	Draw/Away	Draw/Draw	Home/Home	Draw/Home	Away/Home	Away/Draw	Away/Away
10Bet	17.00	46.00	15.00	7.50	1.91	3.95	19.00	19.00	13.00
Bet365	19.00	41.00	15.00	7.50	1.95	4.33	21.00	21.00	12.00
Marathonbet	23.00	67.00	17.25	8.00	1.80	4.15	24.00	22.00	13.00
Unibet	12.50	36.00	12.50	7.00	1.86	4.00	14.00	13.00	11.00
Betfair	15.00	61.00	14.00	8.00	1.83	4.33	18.00	15.00	12.00
SBO	15.40	38.44	13.00	7.91	1.86	4.46	19.24	17.80	12.04
	23.00	65.00	17.00	8.00	1.80	4.15	24.00	22.00	13.00
Betano	19.50	70.00	15.50	7.70	1.95	4.00	21.00	19.50	12.50
Superbet	19.00	70.00	16.00	8.00	1.92	4.45	21.00	21.00	13.00

Bookmaker	Home	Draw	Away
10Bet	1.80	2.50	6.25
William Hill	1.73	2.50	7.00
Bet365	1.80	2.50	6.50
Marathonbet	1.79	2.62	6.80
Unibet	1.74	2.65	6.75
Betfair	1.73	2.63	6.50
BetVictor	1.75	2.60	7.50
Pinnacle	1.72	2.82	7.42
SBO	1.77	2.46	5.70
	1.79	2.62	6.80
Betano	1.83	2.57	6.50
Superbet	1.77	2.72	6.40

Bookmaker	Home	Draw	Away
10Bet	1.60	3.00	6.25
William Hill	1.70	2.75	6.50
Bet365	1.67	3.00	6.00
Marathonbet	1.59	3.20	6.85
Unibet	1.62	3.05	6.25
	1.59	3.20	6.85
Betano	1.62	3.10	6.20
Superbet	1.66	3.10	6.00