UEFA Nations League League A - 4 Full Time

Prediction: Croatia vs Spain — UEFA Nations League

Croatia Home

1–2 HT 1–0

Spain Away

Kick-off: 06 Oct 2026 · 02:45 MYT
Stadion Poljud, Split

The model's 1·X·2 read · pre-match

No clear pick

Model estimate Probabilities from our data model — not bookmaker odds.

1 0% Croatia win

X 50% Draw

2 50% Spain win

Team Comparison

25% Form 75%

23% Attack 77%

25% Defense 75%

20% H2H 80%

32% Goals 68%

25% Overall 75%

Season profile

Croatia 1-0-2

Form WLL

Goal timing

0-15

16-30

31-45

46-60

61-75

76-90

Scored 3 Conceded 12

Spain 3-0-0

Form WWW

Goal timing

0-15

16-30

31-45

46-60

61-75

76-90

Scored 10 Conceded 4

Team Overview

Croatia HOME

33% Win rate WLL

GF 3 GA 12 CS 0

Spain AWAY

100% Win rate WWW

GF 10 GA 4 CS 0

Top Performers

Mikel Merino

Spain ⚽ 2

8.9

Unai Simón

Spain

7.6

Marc Cucurella

Spain

7.3

Pedri

Spain

7.1

Aymeric Laporte

Spain

7.1

Rodri

Spain

6.9

Odds

Bookmaker	Home	Draw	Away
William Hill	8.00	5.00	1.29
Bet365	8.50	6.25	1.27
Marathonbet	10.00	6.15	1.30
Betfair	10.00	6.00	1.25
BetVictor	9.50	5.50	1.29
Pinnacle	9.77	5.92	1.29
SBO	8.68	5.80	1.26
	10.00	6.18	1.31
Betano	11.25	6.70	1.27
22Bet	9.1	6.6	1.26
Sportaza	9.5	6.0	1.27
Betlabel	9.7	6.0	1.275
bwin	4.8	8.75	1.27
Granawin	9.4	6.4	1.31
Interwetten	8.75	6.0	1.3
	9.4	6.4	1.31
Megapari	9.7	6.0	1.275
Pamestoixima.gr	9.85	6.0	1.28
Spinbetter	9.1	6.6	1.26

Bookmaker	Home/Draw	Home/Away	Draw/Away
William Hill	3.50	1.14	1.07
Bet365	3.75	1.12	1.08
Marathonbet	3.75	1.14	1.07
Betfair	3.75	1.10	1.04
BetVictor	3.50	1.05	1.08
SBO	3.61	1.09	1.03
	3.74	1.15	1.07
Betano	4.05	1.12	1.07
22Bet	3.77	1.105	1.06
Sportaza	3.1	1.11	1.06
Betlabel	3.74	1.15	1.068
bwin	3.4	1.12	1.09
Granawin	3.25	1.14	1.09
Interwetten	3.5	1.12	1.08
	3.25	1.14	1.09
Megapari	3.74	1.15	1.068
Pamestoixima.gr	3.5	1.13	1.05
Spinbetter	3.77	1.105	1.06

Bookmaker	Yes	No
William Hill	1.75	1.95
Bet365	1.73	2.00
Marathonbet	1.74	1.98
Betfair	1.87	1.90
BetVictor	1.73	2.00
	1.74	2.00
Betano	1.88	1.85
22Bet	1.845	1.955
Sportaza	1.8	1.86
Betlabel	1.79	1.937
bwin	1.85	1.87
Granawin	1.81	2.02
Interwetten	1.83	1.9
	1.81	2.02
Megapari	1.79	1.937
Pamestoixima.gr	1.75	2.02
Spinbetter	1.78	2.04

Bookmaker	Home/Draw	Home/Away	Draw/Away	Draw/Draw	Home/Home	Draw/Home	Away/Home	Away/Draw	Away/Away
Bet365	21.00	17.00	4.33	9.50	15.00	19.00	41.00	19.00	1.80
Marathonbet	23.00	21.00	4.30	9.70	17.00	21.00	58.00	20.50	1.66
Betfair	21.00	20.00	4.50	10.00	15.00	20.00	81.00	20.00	1.73
SBO	18.28	18.28	4.58	9.06	13.48	14.92	38.44	15.88	1.73
	23.00	21.00	4.30	9.70	17.00	21.00	55.00	20.00	1.66
Betano	23.00	20.00	3.95	9.25	16.50	20.00	80.00	22.00	1.72

Bookmaker	Home	Draw	Away
William Hill	7.00	2.75	1.67
Bet365	7.50	2.88	1.67
Marathonbet	7.50	2.88	1.65
Betfair	7.00	2.88	1.62
BetVictor	8.00	2.75	1.65
Pinnacle	7.98	2.95	1.71
SBO	6.76	2.80	1.66
	7.50	2.88	1.65
Betano	7.70	2.80	1.65

Bookmaker	Home	Draw	Away
William Hill	6.50	3.10	1.60
Bet365	6.50	3.20	1.53
Marathonbet	7.20	3.40	1.53
	7.20	3.40	1.53
Betano	7.50	3.45	1.47

Bookmaker	Home	Draw	Away
Marathonbet	11.00	1.49	3.08

Bookmaker	Home	Draw	Away
Marathonbet	7.80	2.12	2.05
Betano	8.75	2.05	2.15

Bookmaker	Home	Draw	Away
Marathonbet	7.60	3.62	1.47
Betano	8.25	3.70	1.47

Bookmaker	Home	Draw	Away
Marathonbet	8.00	4.40	1.36

Bookmaker	Over 2.5	Under 2.5
22Bet	1.49	2.625
Sportaza	1.45	2.62
Betlabel	1.44	2.56
bwin	1.46	2.65
Granawin	1.47	2.8
Interwetten	1.45	2.65
	1.47	2.8
Megapari	1.44	2.56
Pamestoixima.gr	1.44	2.85
Spinbetter	1.49	2.625