FA Cup 3rd Round Qualifying Full Time

Prediction: Chesham United vs Real Bedford — FA Cup

Chesham United Home

4–3 HT 2–1 · +6′

Real Bedford Away

Kick-off: 03 Oct 2026 · 22:00 MYT

The model's 1·X·2 read · pre-match

No clear pick

Model estimate Probabilities from our data model — not bookmaker odds.

1 35% Chesham United win

X 35% Draw

2 30% Real Bedford win

Team Comparison

33% Form 67%

54% Attack 46%

61% Poisson 39%

49.5% Overall 50.5%

Season profile

Chesham United 2-1-1

Form WWDL

Goal timing

0-15

16-30

31-45

46-60

61-75

76-90

Scored 11 Conceded 10

Real Bedford 2-0-1

Form WWL

Goal timing

0-15

16-30

31-45

46-60

61-75

76-90

Scored 9 Conceded 6

Team Overview

Chesham United HOME

100% Win rate W

GF 7 GA 2 CS 0

Real Bedford AWAY

100% Win rate WW

GF 6 GA 2 CS 0

Odds

Bookmaker	Home	Draw	Away
Bet365	1.75	3.60	3.75
Marathonbet	1.74	3.75	3.60
Betfair	1.70	3.90	3.80
	1.83	4.33	3.70
22Bet	2.11	4.58	2.775
Sportaza	2.05	4.5	2.62
Betlabel	2.06	4.76	2.79
bwin	2.1	4.5	2.8
Megapari	2.06	4.76	2.79
Pamestoixima.gr	2.0	4.25	2.87
Spinbetter	2.115	4.66	2.736

Bookmaker	Home/Draw	Home/Away	Draw/Away
Bet365	1.20	1.22	1.91
Marathonbet	1.19	1.18	1.85
Betfair	1.22	1.20	2.00
	1.19	1.18	1.85
22Bet	1.35	1.157	1.6
Sportaza	1.36	1.17	1.61
Betlabel	1.35	1.145	1.62
bwin	1.42	1.2	1.7
Megapari	1.35	1.145	1.62
Pamestoixima.gr	1.37	1.18	1.72
Spinbetter	1.35	1.153	1.61

Bookmaker	Yes	No
Marathonbet	1.47	2.42
	1.47	2.47
22Bet	1.26	3.43
Betlabel	1.21	3.855
bwin	1.24	3.7
Megapari	1.21	3.855
Pamestoixima.gr	1.23	3.65
Spinbetter	1.23	3.665

Bookmaker	Home/Draw	Home/Away	Draw/Away	Draw/Draw	Home/Home	Draw/Home	Away/Home	Away/Draw	Away/Away
Bet365	13.00	29.00	9.00	7.00	2.75	5.50	19.00	15.00	5.50
Marathonbet	14.00	30.00	8.90	6.60	2.59	4.95	19.75	14.25	6.10
	14.00	30.00	8.90	6.60	2.59	4.95	19.50	14.20	6.10

Bookmaker	Home	Draw	Away
Bet365	2.25	2.50	3.75
Marathonbet	2.27	2.38	3.88
Betfair	2.20	2.40	4.00
	2.39	2.58	4.10

Bookmaker	Home	Draw	Away
Marathonbet	2.06	2.79	3.65
	2.15	3.00	3.98

Bookmaker	Odd	Even
	1.95	1.73

Bookmaker	Yes	No
Marathonbet	1.28	3.18

Bookmaker	Over 1.5	Under 1.5	Over 1	Under 1	Over 0.5	Under 0.5
Marathonbet	6.75	1.06	4.95	1.12	2.07	1.64
	6.95	1.05	–	–	2.07	1.64

Bookmaker	Over 1.5	Under 1.5	Over 1	Under 1	Over 0.5	Under 0.5
Marathonbet	4.90	1.12	3.34	1.26	1.78	1.88
	5.06	1.12	–	–	1.78	1.88

Bookmaker	Over 2.5	Under 2.5
22Bet	1.262	3.52
Betlabel	1.19	4.13
bwin	1.35	10.0
Megapari	1.19	4.13
Pamestoixima.gr	1.2	3.95
Spinbetter	1.23	3.755

Pre-match prices collected from public bookmaker feeds — shown for comparison, not an offer to bet.